NFL DFS picks Week 4 Best sleepers value players for FanDuel DraftKings SuperDraft lineups
NFL DFS picks Week 4 Best sleepers value players for FanDuel DraftKings SuperDraft lineups
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Three weeks of the 2023 NFL season have somehow concluded, with plenty of fun and fury along the way for fantasy football owners. While injuries have leftmillions of teams in season-long redraft leagues scrambling, those of us on the DFS side of things continue to enjoy the luxury of starting fresh each week. And we're winning, too our weekly sleepers and value picks have already helped our DraftKings and FanDuel lineups pull in hundreds of dollars on the young season.If you're new here, the concept of this column is simple: Identify players we view as undervalued or overlooked by the majority of daily fantasy players.Every Tuesday, we scour DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft to pinpoint the best investments like my wife scouring Facebook Marketplace for furniture we don't need and then we write about our favorite plays for each position. We also review our hits from the previous week, kind of like a kid pinning positive quiz results to the refrigerator.WEEK 4 FANTASY: | | By capitalizing on affordable sleepers in certain DFS roster spots, we leave ourselves the budget to greatly improve other roster spots with weekly studs. Let's face it, in order to afford a Justin Jefferson ($9,600 on DK), you must invest in the occasional Ty Chandler ($4,400). And if you grabbed De'Von Achane for $5,000 last week, you almost certainly won some money thanks to his insane 54.3 points. Talk about a lotto-ticket jackpot!We hit on our value picks week in and week out in 2022, consistently delivering 10-plus players in the 18-22 fantasy point range. Our first few weeks of 2023 have been no different. We've been ahead of the game on breakouts like Puka Nacua, Kyren Williams, Zack Mo s, and Nico Collins, and while we didn't call the Achane freight train last week, we did highlight his running mate Raheem Mostert at $6,000. The Fins veteran put up 45.2 DK points, second to only Achane on the week.WEEK 4 DFS: | |Take a look at this collection of hits:Pos.PlayerWk. 3GameDK PricePtsQBC.J. StroudTexans at Jaguars$5,30020.6QBGeno SmithSeahawks vs. Panthers$5,70016.4RBRaheem MostertDolphins vs. Broncos$6,00045.2RBKenneth Walker IIISeahawks vs. Panthers$6,20030.6RBZack Mo sColts atRavens$5,50025.5RBJerome FordBrowns vs. Titans$4,80019.1RBIsiah PachecoChiefs vs. Bears$5,40015.8WRTank DellTexans at Jaguars$3,60028.5WRAmari CooperBrowns vs. Titans$5,70027.6WRMichael PittmanColts at Ravens$6,20016.7DSTClevelandBrowns vs. Titans$3,30012.0Whoa, Nelly! That's a per-player average of 23.5DraftKings points for a modest average salary of $5,245. Our RBsand top two WRs pushed us into big-time prize money, while only a couple of our sleepers failed to reach double-digits. (We only post the Seattle Seahawks Jersey position players who surpa s 16+ points as "highlights," but it's important to note that even our mi ses had high floors.)If you paved the foundation of your lineup with our value picks, you most likely cashed in multiple tournaments like we did last weekend. (Side note: we werewith the Sam LaPorta pick at tight end!).Win BIG with SuperDraft! This year, we're also incorporatinginto our weekly DFS column.For those unfamiliar,sDFS scoring involves point multipliers as opposed to traditional salary-capped or tiered contests. A winning lineup will likely feature a strong mix of stud fantasy contributors with 1x-1.6x boosts, as well as matchup-based sleepers with larger multipliers. Each player is a signed a scoring multiplier based on their value as determined by SuperDraft. So, the sleepers who carry salaries in DK/FD have boosts on SD. The best part: SuperDraft users can roster any playerwith no restrictions.MORE SUPERDRAFT DFS:Enough of the . Let's keep the money train rolling, find some Week 4 sleepers and values, and win some DFS tournaments. Good luck and enjoy the ride, like in an Arrowhead luxury suite!All player values are from DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. All stats are from NFL.com and Pro Football Reference.Joe Burrow, Bengals at Titans (DK: $6,500 | FD: $7,200 | SD: 1.25X)On the surface, Burrow looks like a terrible investment. He's averaging 6.5 DK points per game and has only eclipsed 16 points once in three outings. He's clearly banged up, but his second-half performance on Monday Night Football against the Rams looked better than the box score suggests. The most promising part of the night was Burrow's connection with top receiver Ja'Marr Chase. They flirted with prime-time records with their 12 completions for 141 yards, and Burrow finished with 259 yards despite Tee Higgins being utterly atrocious. The Bengals should be able to take another big step forward this week, as the Titans remain a solid run D but terrible at defending the pa s. Tenne see has surrendered the third-most catches (19/game), fourth-most receiving yards (230/game), and seventh-most TDs (7) to wide receivers through three weeks. Fire Joey B up.Brock Purdy, 49ers vs. Cardinals (DK: $4,900 | FD: $7,100 | SD: 1.3X)Purdy has been this season, and he's coming off his best statistical game in the Niners' decimation of the Giants at home last Thursday. Now he'll be home once again with extra time to prepare for the Cardinals after Arizona stunned the Cowboys. Don't expect Kyle Shanahan's squad to lay an egg like Dallas did. Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, and company look light-years better than the Cowboys skill-position corps. With Purdy logging QB ratings of 111.3 in two of three games this season and improving his average yards per attempt rising with each week, the sky's the limit for Mr. Relevant this weekend.Ru sell Wilson, Broncos at Bears (DK: $5,800 | FD: $7,500 | SD: 1.35X multiplier)The Broncos have been, and DangeRu s might never return. That doesn't mean that Wilson can't put up decent fantasy numbers against the lowly Bears this weekend. Chicago and Denver rank among the five most generous defenses to quarterbacks in the NFL so far this season, and Wilson has quietly averaged over 24.5 DK points over his past two games. It doesn't have to be pretty to produce results, which might as well be Sean Payton's pregame speech this Sunday.Other solid Week 4 values: Matthew Stafford, Rams at Colts (DK: $5,700 | FD: $6,600 | SD: 1.35X); C.J. Stroud, Texans vs. Steelers (DK: $5,600 | FD: $6,700 | SD: 1.35X); Bryce Young (DK: $5,200 | FD: $6,800), Panthers vs. VikingsWEEK 4 STANDARD RANKINGS: | | | | | De'Von Achane, Dolphins at Bills (DK: $5,700 | FD: $6,400 | SD: 1.35X)We had to we just had to do it. How could we resist? The guy just totaled 230 yards and four TDs against the Broncos, and we expect him to remain ahead of Salvon Ahmed (groin) on the depth chart even if Ahmed returns this week. We obviously can't expect anywhere near the level of production we saw last weekend, but it would be even more insane if we saw Achane's volume drop off a cliff. Mike McDaniel's offense will always be mainly predicated on the run, and Achane is obviously quite capable. He's strongandquick, so he's well worth these modest price tags in a game that's projected by to see the most points of Week 4 (53.5).Javonte Williams, Broncos at Bears (DK: $5,500 | FD: $5,800 | SD: 1.35X)This is the week for Williams, who got rolled out slowly in Weeks 1 and 2 and then saw his opportunities capped in a 70-20 onslaught in Miami last weekend. The Bears defense which has allowed the second-most RB fantasy points on both DK and FD should be just Russell Wilson Jersey what the doctor ordered for the third-year stud.Jaylen Warren, Steelers at Texans (DK: $5,000 | FD: $6,100 | SD: 1.5X)Warren has moved into a near 50-50 split with running mate Najee Harris, and we wouldn't be surprised in the least if he operates as the lead RB this weekend in Houston. Harris has been suboptimal with his opportunities, often looking tentative and without burst, while Warren has looked like one of the better PPR backs in the NFL. Warren has averaged 6.3 yards per touch this season, while catching 12-of-16 targets for 101 yards (8.4 YPR). Oh, and the Texans have surrendered the fifth-most fantasy points and third-most TD rushes to RBs this season.More solid Week 4 RB values: Dameon Pierce, Texans vs. Steelers (DK: $5,100 | FD: $6,300 | SD: 1.5X); Roschon Johnson, Bears vs. Broncos (DK: $4,900 | FD: $5,300 | SD: 1.5X); Rico Dowdle, Cowboys vs. Patriots (DK: $4,700 | FD: $5,000 | SD: 1.55X); Ty Chandler, Vikings at Panthers (DK: $4,400 | FD: $4,500 | SD: 1.65X)WEEK 4 PPR RANKINGS: | | | | | Amari Cooper, Browns vs. Ravens (DK: $6,100 | FD: $7,000 | SD: 1.3X)We featured Michael Pittman against the Ravens last week as our top-billed wide receiver value, and now we've decided to go with Cooper vs. Baltimore. John Harbaugh's squad has surrendered the most catches to wide receivers this season (59) and sits among the top 10 in most receiving yards allowed to wideouts (184/game). This is also ama sivehome game for the Browns, who have blown out two of their first three opponents and will move to first in the NFC North with a victory over the division-rival Ravens. Roll with the Coop this weekend.Gabriel Davis, Bills vs. Dolphins (DK: $5,900 | FD: $6,500 | SD: 1.3X)Davis has been pretty good this season, on pace for 600 receiving yards and double-digit touchdowns. As we've already mentioned, this game should be an absolute shootout. With Jalen Ramsey on the IR, star Dolphins cornerback Xavien Howard will likely find himself matched up with Stefon Diggs for a big chunk of Sunday's game. Look for Davis to do what he does best and find himself free for chunk yardage and maybe a TD or two.Tutu Atwell, Rams at Colts (DK: $5,500 | FD: $6,300 | SD: 1.35X)While the whole world has been losing its mind over Rams wideout Puka Nacua in Cooper Kupp's absence, we've also been very impre sed with what we've seen from Atwell. The speedy receiver has averaged 17.8 DK points per game this season and came one toe-length away from his first 24 DK-point performance of the season on Monday against the Bengals. The Colts' secondary has been putrid, ranking in the bottom-quarter of the league against wideouts in all formats. Try Tutu on for size.Jakobi Meyers, Raiders at Chargers (DK: $5,500 | FD: $6,900 | SD: 1.35X)Meyers might be the most overlooked wide receiver in the NFL this season, as he's been quite productive since rejoining forces with former Patriots offensive coordinator and current Raiders head coach Josh McDaniels. Through two games (he mi sed Week 2 due to a concu sion), Meyers has logged 44.6 PPR points. Now he draws a Chargers defense that has allowed the second-most fantasy points to wide receivers this season.More solid Week 4 WR values: George Pickens, Steelers at Texans (DK: $5,400 | FD: $7,100 | SD: 1.35X); Courtland Sutton, Broncos at Bears (DK: $5,300 | FD: $7,100 | SD: 1.4X); Terry McLaurin, Commanders at Eagles (DK: $5,100 | FD: $6,700 | SD: 1.4X); Nico Collins, Texans vs. Steelers (DK: $5,100 | FD: $6,400 | SD: 1.45X); Tank Dell, Texans vs. Steelers (DK: $4,600 | FD: $6,200 | SD: 1.5X)Pat Freiermuth, Steelers at Texans (DK: $3,400 | FD: $5,500 | SD: 1.55X)The 'Muth is a regular feature of the sleepers and values column, as he should be. Kenny Pickett loves throwing to him, especially in the red zone, and he's coming off a game against the Browns in which he put up 13.1 PPR points. Now he draws a beatable Texans defense that allows the 10th-most fantasy points to tight ends so far in 2023. Fire this dude up and watch the 'Muth get loose.Donald Parham, Chargers vs. Raiders (DK: $2,800 | FD: $4,900 | SD: 1.7X)Parham has been one of Justin Herbert's favorite red-zone targets this season, with that duo representing one-third of the Chargers' Warren Moon Jersey 12 red-zone completions in the young season. Three of those four catches have translated to touchdowns, and the scoring opportunities should only increase with Mike Williams (knee) out for the season.More solid Week 4 TE values: Dallas Goedert, Eagles vs. Commanders (DK: $4,400 | FD: $5,900 | SD: 1.3X); Dalton Kincaid, Bills vs. Dolphins (DK: $3,200 | FD: $4,800 | SD: 1.6X)Cincinnati Bengals @ Titans (DK: $3,800 | FD: $4,100)The Bengals' defense looked dominant against the Rams on Monday Night Football, constantly attacking Matthew Stafford in the pocket and forcing hurried, low-percentage pa ses. Now Cincinnati travels to Nashville to face the bumbling Titans, who can't even seem to get Derrick Henry going. Ryan Tannehill has a career-high 3.6-percent interception rate, a career-low 67.7 QB rating, and he's been sacked 13 times. Cincy will feast.Other solid Week 4 D/ST values: Denver Broncos at Bears (DK: $3,700 | FD: $3,900); Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Saints (DK: $3,300 | FD: $4,900); Baltimore Ravens at Browns (DK: $3,200 | FD: $4,100)
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